AfD Leads Saxony-Anhalt Election Polls as Support Tops 40%

AfD Saxony-Anhalt poll DIW study state election

A recent Infratest dimap poll of 1,149 eligible voters in Saxony‑Anhalt (July 23‑28) found the Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) at 41 % support, ahead of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) at 24 %, The Left at 13 %, the Social Democratic Party (SPD) at 7 %, the Greens at 5 % and the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) at 4 %. The same survey showed 44 % of respondents would prefer an AfD‑led state government versus 43 % for the CDU, and 36 % rated the AfD most capable of solving the state’s key problems compared with 16 % for the CDU.

Nationally, the Forsa Trendbarometer recorded a record‑high 27 % for the AfD, with INSA and other polls placing it at 28‑27 %. The SPD remains at about 12 %, the Greens at 16 %, and the CDU/CSU at 21 %.

The German Institute for Economic Research (DIW) warned that implementing core AfD policies would cut real disposable income across Germany by roughly 4 % and, in Saxony‑Anhalt, by 6.2 %, reducing average monthly wages by about €206 and potentially lowering per‑capita income by up to €1,600.

East German voters appear especially receptive: 47 % would support an AfD participation in government, and 47 % back the AfD overall. The election campaign also features AfD candidate Ulrich Siegmund campaigning on a Simson scooter.

Entities

Alternative for Germany (AfD) · Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) · Christian Democratic Union (CDU) · DIW Berlin · Forsa Trendbarometer · German Institute for Economic Research (DIW) · Mecklenburg-Vorpommern · Sachsen-Anhalt · Saxony-Anhalt · Saxony‑Anhalt · Social Democratic Party (SPD) · Ulrich Siegmund

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

[● 8 SOURCES] 47 % of respondents in East Germany would support an AfD government participation. www.finanznachrichten.de · www.kurierverlag.de · www.leinetal24.de · www.juedische-allgemeine.de · www.kreiszeitung.de · +1 more
[● 6 SOURCES] 38 % of East German respondents expect an AfD coalition would strengthen democracy. www.finanznachrichten.de · www.kurierverlag.de · www.juedische-allgemeine.de · www.leinetal24.de · www.kreiszeitung.de
[○ 1 SOURCE] AfD candidate Ulrich Siegmund held a campaign rally in Weißenfels that attracted about 1,500 participants. www.zeit.de
[DISPUTED] The Greens reached 14 % in the INSA survey, moving ahead of the SPD at 12 %. www.nachrichten-heute.net · www.berliner-sonntagsblatt.de · www.op-online.de
[DISPUTED] The Union (CDU/CSU) stagnated at 21 % in the INSA survey. www.nachrichten-heute.net · www.berliner-sonntagsblatt.de · www.op-online.de
[● 2 SOURCES] 37 % of respondents in West Germany would support an AfD coalition, while 47 % expect it would weaken democracy. www.finanznachrichten.de · www.kurierverlag.de
[○ 1 SOURCE] The combined vote share for CDU and SPD in East Germany fell from roughly 70 % in 1994 to about 30 % in the 2025 federal election. www.tagesschau.de
[DISPUTED] In the INSA Sunday trend, the AfD leads with 28 % of the vote. www.nachrichten-heute.net · www.berliner-sonntagsblatt.de · www.op-online.de
[● 6 SOURCES] 37 % of respondents in West Germany would support an AfD government participation. www.finanznachrichten.de · www.juedische-allgemeine.de · www.kurierverlag.de · www.leinetal24.de · www.kreiszeitung.de
[● 2 SOURCES] Ulrich Siegmund is the AfD lead candidate for the Saxony‑Anhalt state election. www.zeit.de · www.merkur.de
[● 6 SOURCES] 34 % of East German respondents expect an AfD coalition would weaken democracy. www.finanznachrichten.de · www.juedische-allgemeine.de · www.kurierverlag.de · www.leinetal24.de · www.kreiszeitung.de
[○ 1 SOURCE] DIW estimates AfD policies could reduce per‑capita income in Saxony‑Anhalt by about €1,600 per year. www.it-boltwise.de