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[BUSINESS] · United States, Netherlands · 2 sources

Global air cargo rates fall further amid US Independence Day holiday

Global air cargo rates slipped 1% week‑on‑week in late June and early July to US$3.13 per kilogram, while average spot rates fell 2% to US$3.62 per kilogram. Worldwide tonnages dropped 2%, driven mainly by the United States' Independence Day holiday and a sharp decline in Hong Kong‑Europe e‑commerce volumes after the EU ended its de‑minimis import exemption on 1 July.

Traffic from Taiwan to Europe surged about 20% over the previous three weeks, reflecting strong demand for AI‑related computer equipment, whereas volumes from Taiwan to the United States fell roughly 5%. Capacity has recovered to about 2% above pre‑US‑Iran conflict levels, but analysts warn that any renewed fighting between the United States and Iran could again disrupt operations and push rates higher.

Year‑on‑year spot prices remain 37% above last year, with the biggest regional increases in the Middle East, South Asia and North America (+46% YoY) and declines of 4% in Europe and North America on a week‑on‑week basis.