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[INTERNATIONAL] · Egypt, Indonesia, India, United Arab Emirates, Greece · 21 sources

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Part of situation: Global agricultural commodity price volatility (2 clusters)

Global food inflation projected to accelerate through 2027

food inflation FAO Food Price Index El Niño supply chain disruptions commodity prices

Global food inflation is expected to accelerate in the coming months and persist through 2027, driven by a combination of geopolitical conflicts, extreme weather, and logistical bottlenecks. According to the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), the Food Price Index averaged 136 points in September, marking its highest level since November 2022.

Supply disruptions are a primary driver. Attacks on Black Sea grain infrastructure and insecurity in the Red Sea have forced vessels onto longer, more expensive routes, with some freight costs increasing by approximately 50%. Additionally, tensions in the Strait of Hormuz have impacted fuel costs and fertilizer exports.

Climate phenomena, specifically El Niño, are causing droughts that threaten agricultural production. In India, the weakest monsoon in over a decade has pushed sugar, onion, and pulse prices up by more than 10% in September, with sugar hitting record highs. In Indonesia, rice prices have reached record levels due to delayed rains. Other notable increases include a 25% rise in bread prices in Egypt and a nearly 40% increase in cooking oil prices in the United Arab Emirates.

The World Bank reports that food prices outpaced headline inflation in 22% of 150 analyzed countries during the September quarter. Experts warn that low- and middle-income households in Asia, the Middle East, and North Africa will be most severely affected as food constitutes a larger share of their spending.

Entities

Black Sea · Egypt · El Niño · Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations · Indonesia · Máximo Torero · Reuters · World Bank

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

Sources

Svijet: Hrana bi mogla drastično da poskupi, najteži period tek dolazi [bijeljina.com]
Crisi delle materie prime, Codacons: in arrivo nuovi rincari alimentari, ecco i prodotti a rischio [www.crotoneok.it]
Τρόφιμα: Νέο κύμα ακρίβειας απειλεί τα φτωχότερα νοικοκυριά παγκοσμίως | Ειδήσεις, νέα για ΟΙΚΟΝΟΜΙΑ | Θεσσαλία Τηλεόραση [www.thessaliatv.gr]
Wheat flour price increased by Rs. 13 [english.gossiplankanews.com]
Global food prices are facing a new wave of increases, and inflation is projected to persist into 2027. [www.europesays.com]
Τα τρόφιμα είναι ήδη ακριβά - Οι πόλεμοι και το Ελ Νίνιο θα τα κάνουν ακριβότερα | in.gr [www.in.gr]
War, El Niño threaten to deepen global food inflation into 2027 [madhyamamonline.com]
Prezzo cereali in aumento: guerra, siccità e El Niño spingono i rincari in Italia [www.solofinanza.it]
Световна криза: Храните поскъпват драстично до 2027 г. заради войните и сушата [bpost.bg]
Codacons, prezzi dei cereali in forte aumento. Rincari in vista per pane e dolciumi [www.iltabloid.it]
Why global food inflation is set to accelerate into 2027 [insideretail.asia]
Световният пазар на храни навлиза в нов тревожен етап. Смущенията [novini247.com]
Global food inflation is expected to intensify as supply shocks pile up [www.businesstimes.com.sg]
Alimentele s-ar putea scumpi puternic la nivel mondial. Ce avertizează economiștii pentru 2027 [www.aktual24.ro]
New food price surge threatens Greece as Black Sea disruption drives up costs – What to expect in 2027 - ProtoThema English [en.protothema.gr]
Un comparto in crisi. L’effetto del blocco dei Tir scuote i negozi cittadini: "Calo di arrivi del 40%" [www.ilrestodelcarlino.it]
Zastanawiasz się, dlaczego rachunki za zakupy rosną? Globalne ceny żywności osiągnęły najwyższy poziom od czterech lat | Najnowsze wiadomości z kraju i ze świata - upday News [www.upday.com]
Храните ще поскъпват и през 2027 г. [www.vesti.bg]
Global food prices set to climb as shipping shocks squeeze supplies [www.bizcommunity.com]
Food Prices Face Fresh Pressure Into 2027 as Shipping Disruption and Drought Hit Supplies [www.ibtimes.co.uk]
Viaggio nel Sud paralizzato. “La merce c’è, ma non passa. Sembra il Covid” [www.quotidiano.net]