Goiás 2026 Election: Gov. Daniel Vilela Leads Governor Race, Ex‑Gov. Ronaldo Caiado Leads Senate Poll
Recent Genial/Quaest and Folha Z polls indicate that incumbent governor Daniel Vilela (MDB) is the front‑runner for the 2026 Goiás governorship, capturing 37% of voter intention in the first‑round scenario. In simulated runoff match‑ups, Vilela is projected to win with 52% against former governor Marconi Perillo (PSDB) who would obtain 28%.
In the Senate contest, ex‑governor Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) tops the list with roughly 20% of intended votes, while the combined first‑and‑second‑choice preference poll places Gustavo Gayer (PL) slightly ahead at 18.6%. Former first lady Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) follows with about 16%, and other candidates remain within the margin of error.
Caiado also enjoys an 87% approval rating in Goiás, the highest among ten states surveyed by Genial/Quaest. Governor Vilela will formalise a 12‑party coalition on 5 August, aiming to broaden his political base ahead of the election.
Entities: Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) · Daniel Vilela · Felipe Mabel · Goiás · Gracinha Caiado · Gustavo Gayer · Henrique César · Marconi Perillo · Podemos (Brazilian political party) · Ronaldo Caiado · Wilder Morais
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how well corroborated each claim is across sources.
- [● 2 SOURCES] The second Senate seat is tied between Vanderlan Cardoso (10%) and Dr. Zacharias Calil (9%).
- [● 2 SOURCES] Daniel Vilela leads the gubernatorial race in Goiás with 37% first‑round voter intention. (new)
- [● 2 SOURCES] Wilder Morais holds 11% voter intention for governor.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Governor Daniel Vilela will formalise a 12‑party coalition on 5 August. (existing)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Gustavo Gayer holds 18.6% combined first‑and‑second‑choice Senate preference. (existing)
- [● 3 SOURCES] Gracinha Caiado leads the Senate race in Goiás with 20% voter intention. (existing)
- [● 2 SOURCES] In a simulated runoff, Daniel Vilela would win with 52% against Marconi Perillo's 28%. (existing)
- [● 2 SOURCES] Marconi Perillo has 21% voter intention for governor.
- [● 2 SOURCES] Ronaldo Caiado's approval rating in Goiás stands at 87%. (new)