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[BUSINESS] · United States, Japan, United Kingdom, New Zealand · 32 sources

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Global markets react to shifting US Fed interest rate expectations

Global financial markets are reacting to shifting expectations regarding US monetary policy. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller has signaled a preference for maintaining steady interest rates in September, provided inflation remains stable. This dovish tone has contributed to a decline in the US Dollar Index and a reduction in the perceived probability of a September rate hike, which now sits at approximately 50.4% according to CME FedWatch data.

Commodities and cryptocurrencies have seen significant movement. Bitcoin rose by over 5%, surpassing the $80,000 mark, driven by increased risk appetite and falling Treasury yields. Gold prices also rebounded, rising 2.1% to $4,508, supported by fading rate-hike bets and a weaker dollar. In August, gold recorded its fastest monthly gain in seven months, rising 10% to end at $4,449 per ounce.

In the foreign exchange market, the Japanese yen has surged, with USD/JPY dropping 2.01% to 155.52, amid renewed Bank of Japan rate-hike bets. The British pound has remained steady at approximately $1.35 against the US dollar. Investors are now closely monitoring upcoming US Nonfarm Payrolls data, with consensus estimates projecting an expansion of 56,000 jobs, to gain further clarity on the Federal Reserve's trajectory.

Entities

Bank of Japan · Bitcoin · Christopher Waller · Donald Trump · Federal Reserve · Gold · Kapalıçarşı · Kevin Warsh · U.S. Department of the Treasury

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