Ibarra mayoral race shows conflicting poll results

The mayoral race in Ibarra, Ecuador, shows a highly fragmented political landscape as various recent polls yield conflicting results for the five qualified candidates. Different polling entities have placed different individuals in the lead.

According to CEDATOS, Álvaro Castillo Monge leads with 27.9% of the intention to vote. However, a study by consultant Santiago Ron places Juan Arias in the first position with 29.9%. Other digital measurements have suggested different leaders, including Lucía Posso at 32.44% and José Moncayo at 28%.

A significant factor in the upcoming election is the high number of undecided voters. One report indicates that approximately 32% of those surveyed have not yet decided on a candidate, suggesting the final outcome remains uncertain.