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[BUSINESS] · UN · 23 sources

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IMF warns of global financial risks from AI, bond yields, and cyberattacks

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has identified three primary systemic risks that could trigger market turmoil and tighten financial conditions: an artificial intelligence-driven market correction, a sharp rise in sovereign bond yields, and increasing cyberattacks on critical financial infrastructure.

Regarding artificial intelligence, the IMF notes that while investment in data centers and semiconductors has spurred economic activity, a failure to meet high profitability expectations could trigger a broad deleveraging across asset classes. The report highlights that hyperscalers—the largest data center operators—have seen their share of global bond issuances rise from under 1% in 2024 to nearly 10%.

Additionally, the IMF warns that cyberattacks targeting digital payment systems and major banks could disrupt essential services and undermine market confidence. The growing sophistication of these threats, including the use of frontier AI models by state-sponsored actors and ransomware groups, presents a worsening risk as financial services become more interconnected and dependent on a small number of technology providers.

Finally, the IMF cautions that a shock in sovereign bond yields could reprice assets and reduce the collateral value of bonds used in financial transactions. These vulnerabilities are compounded by high levels of public debt and geopolitical tensions that threaten to disrupt trade and energy security.

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Bangkok · China · IMF · International Monetary Fund · International Monetary and Financial Committee · Kristalina Georgieva · Mohammed Aljadaan · Russia · Saudi Arabia · United States

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