India's FY26 GDP data release points to 7.4% growth, while Yes Bank forecasts slowdown to 6.6% in FY27

India’s government will release fourth‑quarter FY26 GDP figures and revised full‑year data, with analysts expecting Q4 growth between 6.8% and 7.4% and an overall FY26 expansion of about 7.4%, slightly below earlier estimates. The report notes strong contributions from services, utilities and construction, while agriculture, mining and manufacturing may moderate.

A Yes Bank research note projects headline consumer‑price inflation to average 5.0‑5.2% in FY27 and predicts GDP growth to decelerate sharply to 6.6% from 7.6% in FY26. The bank sees limited scope for a rate hike at the June RBI meeting but expects a cumulative 75‑100 basis‑point increase later in the year as inflation pressures persist.

Both the upcoming GDP release and the inflation outlook are being watched for cues on RBI policy, market sentiment and the impact of geopolitical tensions and higher commodity prices on India’s economy.