International friendly football match analyses released

Statistical analyses have been released for upcoming international friendly football matches scheduled for September 27, 2026.

In the matchup between China and New Zealand, models suggest a 36% probability of a Chinese victory. New Zealand has shown declining form, including a recent 5-1 loss to Belgium and a period of inactivity. While New Zealand averages 1.45 goals scored away from home, their defense has been inconsistent, conceding an average of 1.27 goals per away match.

In the fixture between Vanuatu and New Caledonia, New Caledonia is favored with a modeled win probability of 55%. New Caledonia has demonstrated defensive strength on the road, conceding only 0.45 goals per game on average. Vanuatu enters the match following a three-game winning streak, though they have previously suffered heavy defeats, such as an 8-1 loss to New Zealand.