Italy faces €29 billion energy cost surge for families and firms in 2026

Italy energy cost surge CGIA study gasoline diesel increase Lombardy regional impact 2026

The CGIA office of studies in Mestre projects that, if current price levels hold, Italian households and businesses will bear almost €29 billion of additional expenses in 2026 for electricity, gas and transport fuels. The largest component is gasoline and diesel, which would add €13.6 billion (a 20.4% rise over 2025). Electricity costs are expected to increase by €10.2 billion (12.9% higher) and gas by €5 billion (14.6% higher).

Regional impacts vary: Lombardy would incur the highest absolute increase at €5.4 billion (15.1% up), followed by Emilia‑Romagna with €3 billion (16.1%) and Veneto with about €2.9‑2.95 billion (15.8%). Basilicata shows the steepest percentage jump for fuel prices, 21.6% (+€118 million). National price levels have already risen—gasoline at €1.91 per litre and diesel at €2.04 per litre, up 14.4% and 18.5% respectively; electricity price per MWh climbed from €132.66 to €161.23, and gas from €37.71 to €57.08.

The study links the surge to the conflict in the Persian Gulf and warns that low‑income families, transport operators and high‑energy‑consumption firms will be most affected.

Entities: Basilicata · CGIA (Centro di Studi CGIA) of Mestre · CGIA di Mestre · Emilia‑Romagna · Italy · Lombardy · Veneto

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how well corroborated each claim is across sources.

[● 7 SOURCES] Gas costs are projected to increase by €5 billion, a 14.6% rise over 2025. (CGIA study, 2026 forecast)
[● 2 SOURCES] Basilicata will see the highest percentage increase at 21.6%, adding €118 million. (CGIA study, regional breakdown)
[● 7 SOURCES] Electricity costs are expected to rise by €10.2 billion, a 12.9% increase over 2025. (CGIA study, 2026 forecast)
[● 7 SOURCES] Lombardy will bear the highest regional extra cost, about €5.4 billion, a 15.1% increase. (CGIA study, regional breakdown)
[● 3 SOURCES] Veneto’s extra cost is projected at roughly €2.9 billion, a 15.8% rise. (CGIA study, regional breakdown)
[● 7 SOURCES] CGIA estimates that Italian families and firms will incur almost €29 billion of extra energy costs in 2026. (CGIA study, 2026 forecast)
[● 3 SOURCES] Self‑service gasoline price is €1.91 per litre and diesel €2.04 per litre, up 14.4% and 18.5% since the Gulf conflict began. (CGIA study, price observations)
[● 7 SOURCES] The additional cost for gasoline and diesel is projected at €13.6 billion, a 20.4% rise over 2025. (CGIA study, 2026 forecast)
[● 3 SOURCES] Electricity costs will rise by €10.2 billion, a 12.9% increase over 2025. (Electricity price increase estimate)
[● 2 SOURCES] Basilicata will have the highest percentage increase for fuel prices, 21.6% (+€118 million). (Regional percentage increase estimate)
[● 3 SOURCES] Lombardy will face the highest regional increase, €5.4 billion, a 15.1% rise. (Regional impact estimate)
[● 2 SOURCES] Emilia‑Romagna will see an increase of €3 billion, a 16.1% rise. (Regional impact estimate)