London crime rates perceived as higher than official data suggests

A study by the Policy Institute at King's College London reveals a significant gap between public perception and actual crime statistics in London. Research conducted through YouGov surveys suggests that residents and the general public frequently overestimate the prevalence and severity of crime in the capital.

Key findings indicate that while 50% of respondents believed London had the highest rate of violent crime in England and Wales, official data showed it actually had the lowest rate among all regions. Additionally, 62% of people believed overall crime had increased between 2019 and 2025, whereas official figures show a slight decrease of 1.4%. Similarly, while many believed murders had risen, the number actually fell by approximately 15% during that period.

The report also highlights misconceptions regarding personal safety and demographics. For instance, respondents estimated that 60% of residents do not feel safe walking alone after dark, compared to the actual figure of 37%. The study notes that these perceptions are often fueled by social media narratives, with TikTok users identified as being more likely to overestimate crime levels.