Lorenzo Pazolini leads Espírito Santo gubernatorial race

A new Real Time Big Data poll shows Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) leading the runoff for the governorship of Espírito Santo with 52% of valid votes, compared to 48% for the incumbent, Ricardo Ferraço (MDB).

With the second round scheduled for Sunday, October 25, the candidates are in a technical tie given the two-percentage-point margin of error. In a stimulated scenario, Pazolini holds 46% to Ferraço's 43%, while in spontaneous voting, Pazolini leads 45% to 42%.

Demographic data reveals a split electorate: Pazolini leads among men and voters aged 16 to 34, whereas Ferraço holds an advantage among women and elderly voters. Approximately 89% of respondents state they have already decided on their candidate.