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[POLITICS] · Brazil · 52 sources

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Brazil presidential race shows technical tie between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro FAST-MOVING

Recent polling data from Quaest and Nexus/BTG indicates a highly competitive race for the Brazilian presidency. In the first round, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads with approximately 39% to 42% of voting intentions, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro follows with 34% to 37%.

Simulations for a second-round runoff show a technical tie between the two candidates. Quaest reports a dead heat with both candidates at 42%, while Nexus/BTG indicates a narrow margin with Lula at 46% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 44%.

Demographic and religious breakdowns reveal distinct voting patterns. Lula maintains a significant advantage among female voters and Catholic constituents, whereas Flávio Bolsonaro holds a lead among evangelical voters. Additionally, rejection rates remain high for both, with Flávio Bolsonaro at 51% and Lula at 48%.

Entities

Augusto Cury · BTG Pactual · BTG/Nexus · Brazil · Flávio Bolsonaro · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Nexus · Nexus/BTG Pactual · Quaest · Real Time Big Data · Romeu Zema · Ronaldo Caiado

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