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Otaviano Pivetta leads Mato Grosso gubernatorial polls
Recent polling data for the Mato Grosso gubernatorial election indicates that incumbent Otaviano Pivetta is positioned to win in the first round. Multiple institutes, including Quaest, MT Dados, and AtlasIntel, report Pivetta leading with valid vote percentages ranging from 50.6% to 54.3%.
In the Quaest survey, Pivetta holds 54% of valid votes, followed by Wellington Fagundes at 28% and Doutora Natasha at 13%. The MT Dados survey shows a similar trend, with Pivetta at 50.6%, Fagundes at 27.7%, and Doutora Natasha at 16.9%. The Instituto Veritá also places Pivetta at 53.7%, with Fagundes at 27.1% and Doutora Natasha at 16.3%.
While the results suggest a potential first-round victory, some statistical models note that the margin of error—between two and three percentage points—means the race remains mathematically open for a second round.
Entities
Carlos Brandão · Doutora Natasha Slhessarenko · Eduardo Braide · Felipe Camarão · Flávio Bolsonaro · Instituto Veritá · Liberdade e Independência · Maranhão · Mato Grosso · Montes Claros · Natasha Slhessarenko · Nikolas Ferreira
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Natasha Slhessarenko held a victory caravan event on Rodovia Emanuel Pinheiro.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Wellington Fagundes held a victory caravan in Cuiabá.
- [DISPUTED] Otaviano Pivetta leads the Mato Grosso gubernatorial race with 53.7% of valid votes according to Instituto Veritá. www.blogdovaldemir.com.br
- [DISPUTED] Wellington Fagundes has 27.1% and Doutora Natasha has 16.3% of the valid votes.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Otaviano Pivetta conducted a victory walk in the metropolitan region of Várzea Grande.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] The survey has a margin of error of three percentage points with a 95% confidence level.
- [DISPUTED] Wellington Fagundes is in second place with 27.7% of valid votes in the MT Dados survey. gazetamt.com.br · rdmonline.com.br · cenariomt.com.br
- [● 3 SOURCES] The MT Dados survey has a 95% confidence level and a margin of error of three percentage points. gazetamt.com.br · rdmonline.com.br · cenariomt.com.br
- [DISPUTED] Wellington Fagundes has 28% of valid votes in the Quaest survey. diariodaserra.com.br · omatogrosso.com · www.reportermt.com · leiagora.com.br · www.estadao.com.br
- [DISPUTED] Otaviano Pivetta reached 54% of valid votes in the Quaest survey. diariodaserra.com.br · omatogrosso.com · www.reportermt.com · leiagora.com.br · www.estadao.com.br
- [DISPUTED] Otaviano Pivetta reached 50.6% of valid votes in the MT Dados survey. gazetamt.com.br · rdmonline.com.br · cenariomt.com.br
- [DISPUTED] Doutora Natasha has 13% of valid votes in the Quaest survey. diariodaserra.com.br · omatogrosso.com · www.reportermt.com · leiagora.com.br · www.estadao.com.br