Max Scherzer faces pitching struggles ahead of Blue Jays matchup

Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Max Scherzer is facing significant performance challenges during the 2026 season. Following a recent start where he allowed seven runs in four innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, Scherzer has struggled with high contact and home runs. He has allowed 12 home runs in 45 innings, resulting in a career-worst 2.40 HR/9 rate and a 7.40 ERA.

His recent statistical decline includes a -0.5 fWAR, a notable drop from his historically positive career marks. In his upcoming matchup against the Kansas City Royals, Scherzer is scheduled to face Seth Lugo, who holds a 4.71 ERA over 145.1 innings. Analysts note that while the betting market has set the total runs for the game at 8.5, Scherzer’s current form and high home run rate suggest a potential for a high-scoring game.