Mexico City and Toluca Face Heavy Rain and Storms on July 30, 2026

The Toluca valley in the State of Mexico is expected to experience a humid morning with temperatures around 10 °C, followed by a cloudy to overcast afternoon and a 70 % probability of rain. Maximum temperatures may reach 21 °C, with eastern and southeasterly winds at 10‑15 km/h and occasional gusts up to 40 km/h. The forecast also notes a risk of lightning and possible hail in the central, western and southwestern parts of the state.

In Mexico City, the weather service predicts a cool start to the day (around 14 °C) and a warm peak of 25 °C before thunderstorms develop in the late afternoon. The probability of rain at 17:00 is about 40 % with an estimated 1.9 mm of precipitation. UV radiation is expected to be very high, reaching an extreme level of 11+ in the afternoon, prompting recommendations for sunscreen use. Light to moderate winds will shift from the north in the morning to the west by evening, potentially reducing visibility and affecting travel in the city.