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Mexico demographic shifts: fertility rates drop and population ages
The 2025 Intercensal Survey (EIC) released by INEGI reveals significant demographic shifts in Mexico. The national population has reached approximately 130.9 million, with an annual growth rate of 0.7% between 2020 and 2025, the lowest recorded in recent history.
A critical trend is the sharp decline in fertility. The Total Fertility Rate (TGF) dropped from 1.9 children per woman in 2019 to 1.2 in 2024, falling well below the replacement level of 2.1. Regional disparities are notable: Mexico City reports the lowest rate at 0.8, while Baja California stands at 1.0. In contrast, Chiapas maintains the highest rate at 1.8.
Concurrently, the population is aging, with the median age rising from 29 in 2020 to 32 in 2025. Social structures are also reconfiguring; for the first time, single individuals (36.2%) outnumber married individuals (31.8%) nationwide. In Mexico City, 40.2% of residents identify as single, a trend attributed to increased education, women's workforce participation, and housing costs.
Additionally, the survey highlights changes in household composition. There are approximately 39.7 million private dwellings with an average of 3.3 inhabitants per home, reflecting a shift away from large family units toward smaller households.
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Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [● 2 SOURCES] The illiteracy rate in Mexico has fallen to 3.7%. pagina24zacatecas.com.mx · juarezhoy.com.mx
- [● 2 SOURCES] The median age in Mexico has reached 32 years. pagina24zacatecas.com.mx · juarezhoy.com.mx
- [● 2 SOURCES] Mexico has 130.9 million inhabitants. pagina24zacatecas.com.mx · juarezhoy.com.mx
- [● 2 SOURCES] There are 39.7 million private dwellings in Mexico. pagina24zacatecas.com.mx · juarezhoy.com.mx
- [● 2 SOURCES] Average schooling increased from 9.7 to 10.3 years between 2020 and 2025. pagina24zacatecas.com.mx · juarezhoy.com.mx
- [● 2 SOURCES] The average number of inhabitants per house is 3.3. pagina24zacatecas.com.mx · juarezhoy.com.mx