Mexico seeks strategic role amid shifting global order and US uncertainty

Mexico faces a critical period of geopolitical reconfiguration as the international order shifts. Amidst the emergence of new security axes and the strengthening of Western alliances like AUKUS and NATO, Mexico has the opportunity to act as a 'strategic pivot'—a middle power that shapes international order through geographic positioning, economic strength, and political influence.

However, significant challenges persist regarding Mexico's relationship with the United States. Uncertainty surrounds potential tariffs, sanctions, and the non-automatic renewal of the USMCA (T-MEC) under the Trump administration. Experts suggest that while Mexico cannot control Washington's unpredictability, it can mitigate risks by addressing internal vulnerabilities. Recommended actions include ensuring regulatory certainty, maintaining fiscal discipline, restructuring Pemex, and improving the domestic investment climate to build resilience against external shocks.