Miami Dolphins projected to finish 1-16 in 2026 NFL season

Sports analysts predict a disastrous 2026 season for the Miami Dolphins. USA Today writer Nate Davis forecast the team will end the year with a 1‑16 record, the worst in the league, citing an inexperienced roster, weak pass offense and defense, and the toughest AFC schedule based on 2025 opponent win percentages. Other outlets offer more moderate outlooks, with Sports Illustrated suggesting a 5‑12 finish and BetMGM projecting four to five wins.

The bleak outlook follows a turbulent 2025 campaign in which the Dolphins posted a 7‑10 record, dismissed general manager Chris Grier after a 2‑7 start, and retained first‑year head coach Mike McDaniel despite criticism. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa struggled amid the team's inconsistent performance, further fueling doubts about the upcoming season.