NATO warns Russia could launch limited attack on member within a year after Ukraine war ends

The Dutch Ministry of Defence warned that Russia could initiate a limited military operation against a NATO state within a year once the war in Ukraine concludes, describing Europe as being in a “grey zone” between war and peace. The report said Russian intelligence services are preparing for a long‑term confrontation with Europe and noted that the Netherlands plans to boost defence spending, especially in unmanned‑drone capabilities, to counter such threats.

NATO Secretary‑General Mark Rutte echoed the concern, stating that “even after the war in Ukraine ends, Russia will continue to pose a long‑term threat to Euro‑Atlantic security.” He stressed the need for sustained pressure on Moscow and announced that the upcoming NATO summit in Turkey will discuss further support for Ukraine and measures to deter any limited Russian aggression.