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Nigeria economy shows rising business confidence amid market volatility
Nigeria is experiencing a complex economic period characterized by rising business optimism alongside significant market volatility. According to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Business Expectations Survey, the Business Confidence Index rose to 14.8 points in August 2026, up from 5.7 in July. Businesses expressed hope for a stronger naira and easing borrowing costs, though they continue to face constraints such as high taxation, insecurity, and high interest rates.
In the capital markets, the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) recently saw a sharp decline, with market capitalization dropping by approximately N2 trillion as the All-Share Index fell by 1.60%. This sell-off occurred despite recent increases in listed shares. However, long-term trends show significant growth, with total market capitalization for listed securities rising by N65.4 trillion between December 2025 and August 2026.
Further indicators of economic shifts include Nigeria’s reclassification by FTSE Russell from ‘Unclassified’ to ‘Frontier Market’ status, effective September 21, 2026. Additionally, the foreign exchange market showed a strong rebound, with weekly turnover reaching $3.39 billion, driven by a 505.79% surge in FX derivatives trading.
Entities
Central Bank of Nigeria · Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE · FTSE Russell · Nigeria · Nigerian Exchange Limited
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] The national Business Confidence Index rose to 14.8 points in August 2026, up from 5.7 points in July. www.iroyinyorubatv.com.ng
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Total market capitalisation closed August 2026 at N215.09 trillion. www.thisdaylive.com
- [DISPUTED] The All-Share Index rose by 674.61 points to 243,052.74 points in the final trading session of the week.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Market capitalisation increased by N437 billion to N157.587 trillion in a single trading session.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] The overall market capitalisation of listed securities on the NGX rose by N65.4 trillion in the first eight months of 2026. www.thisdaylive.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] High or multiple taxation, insecurity, and high interest rates are the primary business constraints in Nigeria. www.iroyinyorubatv.com.ng