Norway political poll: Labor Party declines as Progress Party leads

A new November opinion poll conducted by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen shows a significant decline for the Labor Party (Ap). The party currently holds 19.5 percent support, a decrease of 1.7 percentage points. This marks the first time since January 2025 that the party led by Jonas Gahr Støre has fallen below the 20 percent threshold in this specific polling format.

The Progress Party (Frp) remains the largest party with 32.9 percent support, marking the third consecutive time it has exceeded 30 percent in these polls. The Conservative Party (Høyre) also saw growth, rising 2.3 percentage points to 15.1 percent. Combined, the conservative parties (Høyre and Frp) would hold 85 seats, representing a pure majority.

Other party results include: • Red Party (Rødt): 7.9 percent (+1.7) • Socialist Left (SV): 5.3 percent (-0.2) • Centre Party (Sp): 5.3 percent (-0.9) • Christian Democratic Party (KrF): 4 percent • Green Party (MDG): 4.2 percent (-0.3) • Liberal Party (Venstre): 3.5 percent (+0.2)

The poll was conducted on November 3 and 4 with 1,001 respondents, featuring a margin of error between 0.9 and 2.9 percentage points.