Nvidia stock valuation debated as analysts cite lower PE and rising competition
Nvidia's trailing price‑to‑earnings ratio has fallen to around 31, the lowest level in seven years, while its forward P/E is near an 11‑year low of about 19‑22. Analysts say the drop reflects earnings catching up with the AI‑driven valuation premium that pushed the stock to triple‑digit multiples during the 2023‑2025 hype.
Bank of America argues the stock is undervalued relative to peers, pointing to its pricing power, mid‑70% gross‑margin outlook for the new Rubin platform, and a discount to companies such as Microsoft and Apple. The firm expects the upcoming August earnings to reaffirm Nvidia’s product and supply‑chain moats.
Other commentary notes growing competition in the AI‑chip market, including custom silicon from hyperscalers and firms like SambaNova and Etched, as well as rising high‑bandwidth memory costs. Despite these pressures, Nvidia still dominates AI infrastructure, holding a large share of hyperscaler spending.
Institutional investors have continued to add positions, with Mayflower Financial Advisors increasing its stake by 5.8% in the first quarter. Market observers see the recent share decline as a potential buying opportunity rather than a sign of fundamental weakness.