Official Trump crypto faces supply risks amid price volatility

The Official Trump [TRUMP] cryptocurrency has experienced significant volatility, recently declining 10% in a single day following a 34% gain over the previous month. The asset is currently trading around $1.97, down approximately 97% from its January 2025 all-time high of $79.

Technical analysis suggests the token is entering a potential demand zone that could trigger a rebound toward the $3.00 to $3.40 range. Indicators such as Bollinger Bands suggest the market may currently be undervalued. However, market sentiment remains cautious due to a weak capital flow structure indicated by the Money Flow Index (MFI).

A major structural risk for the token is the upcoming supply increase. Only about 27% of the 1 billion total supply is currently circulating. A significant token unlock is scheduled for September 18, which is expected to increase the circulating supply by approximately 10.5% in a single day. This pattern of scheduled unlocks continues through December 2027, creating ongoing sell-side pressure.