Palmeiras leads 2026 Brasileirão at half‑season

Palmeiras finished the first half of the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro with 44 points from 19 matches, the best record of the points‑run era and the third‑best halfway tally historically. The team tops the league with a 60.9 % statistical probability of winning the title, while second‑placed Flamengo sits on 37 points with one game in hand and a 28.7 % chance. Palmeiras also leads defensive and offensive metrics, conceding just 13‑14 goals and scoring 33. Projections from several analytics groups place Palmeiras as the clear favourite for both the championship and a direct Libertadores berth. Ahead of the upcoming 20th‑round clash with Atlético‑MG, Palmeiras faces a slate of absences that could rise to nine players, including suspensions and injuries to key starters. Despite the personnel challenges, returning players such as Paulinho are expected to bolster the side.