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[BUSINESS] · Panama, Costa Rica, Guyana, Brazil, Dominican Republic · 12 sources

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Panama Canal to reduce daily vessel transits due to El Niño drought

The Panama Canal is implementing further reductions in vessel traffic due to severe drought conditions exacerbated by El Niño. Following a previous reduction to 32 daily transits in September, the Panama Canal Authority (ACP) is projecting an average of 29.5 transits per day for fiscal year 2027, which begins October 1. This represents an 18 percent decline from the typical 36 daily transits.

Under the current restrictions, the Panamax locks are limited to 23 transits per day, while the Neopanamax locks maintain nine daily transits. The drought has significantly lowered water levels in Lake Gatún and Lake Alajuela, which are essential for operating the canal's locks. To manage the scarcity, authorities have also implemented draft restrictions, limiting the depth of vessels to 48 feet.

Despite the decrease in ship movements, the ACP expects total revenue to increase by approximately 6.7 percent to $5.56 billion for the upcoming fiscal year. This is attributed to a shift in cargo mix, with an expected increase in high-value LNG and LPG vessels, which can offset the lower number of total ships.

The disruptions pose risks to global supply chains, as the canal handles roughly 5% of global maritime trade and 40% of US container traffic. Regional entities, such as the Asociación de Navieros de la República Dominicana, have warned that prolonged restrictions could increase shipping costs and impact the competitiveness of Caribbean importers and exporters.

Entities

Asociación de Navieros de la República Dominicana · El Niño · Ilya Espino de Marotta · Panama Canal · Panama Canal Authority

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