Polish grain harvest contracts while fruit and veg prices surge

Analysts project a 2.1% decline in global grain production for the 2026/27 season, dropping to 2,414.5 million tonnes. The fall is driven by lower wheat outputs in the United States, the European Union, Australia and Canada, and reduced corn harvests mainly in the United States. The world stock‑to‑use ratio is expected to dip to 24.2%, the lowest level since 2013/14.

In Poland, Credit Agricole forecasts wheat prices of about 85 zł per deciton (dt) at the end of 2026, rising to roughly 90 zł/dt in 2027, with similar levels for corn. Domestic market reports show sharply higher prices for early‑season fruit such as red and black currants (around 60 zł per kilogram) and strawberries, while potatoes are among the cheapest vegetables at roughly 2–2.5 zł per kilogram. Seasonal supply constraints and recent weather conditions are cited as the main drivers of these price variations.

The increased grain consumption in Asia, Mexico, North‑Africa and the Middle East adds further pressure on global supplies, reinforcing upward price trends for wheat and corn on Polish exchanges.