Polls show negative sentiment in Argentina and tight race in Brazil

A national survey conducted by CELAG in October 2026 indicates that 69.1% of Argentines hold a negative view of the country's current situation. Among those surveyed, 28.5% described the situation as “worse than ever,” while 21.9% characterized it as “uncertain and chaotic.”

In the province of Córdoba, a separate poll by Dialogía regarding a potential presidential runoff between Javier Milei and Axel Kicillof showed Milei leading with 47.9% of the vote compared to Kicillof's 34.4%.

In Brazil, a CNT/MDA poll released ahead of the presidential second round shows a technical tie between Flávio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Considering only valid votes, Bolsonaro holds 50.7% against Lula's 49.3%, a 1.4 percentage point difference that falls within the 2.2% margin of error.