Tocantins 2026 gubernatorial race shows Professora Dorinha leading

Recent polling data for the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election shows a competitive race between several candidates. According to surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, Senator Professora Dorinha (União Brasil) leads the field. In one Quaest survey, she held 42% of the vote in a stimulated scenario, while in another, she reached 48.3% of valid votes.

Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) follows as the primary challenger. Real Time Big Data reports him at 33% in the first round, with a potential second-round matchup against Dorinha resulting in a technical tie, with Dorinha at 45% and Vicentinho Júnior at 42%.

Other candidates include Laurez Moreira (PSD), who holds between 5% and 14% depending on the poll, Siqueira Campos Jr. (Democrata) at 2-6%, and Ataídes de Oliveira (Novo) at 3-5%. The election is scheduled for October 4, 2026. Current Governor Wanderlei Barbosa is not running for reelection due to term limits.