Putin likely to ramp up Ukraine war after Russian election, Czech president warns

Czech President Petr Pavel told The Telegraph that Russia could significantly intensify its war in Ukraine within two months unless a diplomatic solution is reached. He said Putin may hold off on a major escalation until after Russia’s parliamentary election on 20 September, after which internal political constraints would lessen.

Kremlin‑close insiders cited by Reuters echo this view, saying recent Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries, ports, oil depots and ships have encouraged a “high probability” that Putin will broaden the conflict in the coming months. They also mentioned possible targeting of NATO facilities in the Baltics and Romania. Both sources warn that further strikes could force Russia to expand its security zone and could lead to a more aggressive campaign.