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[BUSINESS] · New Zealand · 23 sources

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Reserve Bank of New Zealand holds OCR at 2.75% in split vote

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) unexpectedly held the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.75%, defying market expectations of a 25-basis-point increase to 3.00%. The Monetary Policy Committee reached a narrow 4-3 decision, with four members favoring a pause to assess previous hikes and three members advocating for an immediate increase.

While annual inflation fell to 3.7% in the September quarter, the RBNZ forecasts it will rise to 4.4% in the December quarter, driven largely by volatile fuel prices and global energy market disruptions. The central bank noted that the New Zealand dollar has fallen approximately 3% since early September, which may increase the cost of imported goods.

Governor Anna Breman indicated that the chances of a rate hike in December are high, emphasizing that all committee members agree tighter monetary policy will likely be required to return inflation to the 1% to 3% target range. The RBNZ also clarified that the upcoming November 7 general election was not a factor in the decision-making process.

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Anna Breman · Chris Luxon · Monetary Policy Committee · New Zealand · Nicola Willis · Reserve Bank of New Zealand · Westpac

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