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Reserve Bank of New Zealand holds OCR at 2.75% in split vote
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) unexpectedly held the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.75%, defying market expectations of a 25-basis-point increase to 3.00%. The Monetary Policy Committee reached a narrow 4-3 decision, with four members favoring a pause to assess previous hikes and three members advocating for an immediate increase.
While annual inflation fell to 3.7% in the September quarter, the RBNZ forecasts it will rise to 4.4% in the December quarter, driven largely by volatile fuel prices and global energy market disruptions. The central bank noted that the New Zealand dollar has fallen approximately 3% since early September, which may increase the cost of imported goods.
Governor Anna Breman indicated that the chances of a rate hike in December are high, emphasizing that all committee members agree tighter monetary policy will likely be required to return inflation to the 1% to 3% target range. The RBNZ also clarified that the upcoming November 7 general election was not a factor in the decision-making process.
Entities
Anna Breman · Chris Luxon · Monetary Policy Committee · New Zealand · Nicola Willis · Reserve Bank of New Zealand · Westpac
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [● 10 SOURCES] Inflation is forecast to rise to 4.4% in the December quarter. autotalk.co.nz · www.chineseherald.co.nz · www.europesays.com · www.perthnow.com.au · livenews.co.nz · +4 more
- [● 14 SOURCES] The Monetary Policy Committee voted 4 to 3 to keep the rate unchanged. autotalk.co.nz · www.chineseherald.co.nz · www.europesays.com · www.negocios.com · www.businesstimes.com.sg · +6 more
- [● 15 SOURCES] The RBNZ held the Official Cash Rate at 2.75%. autotalk.co.nz · www.chineseherald.co.nz · www.europesays.com · www.negocios.com · www.businesstimes.com.sg · +7 more
- [● 4 SOURCES] The New Zealand dollar fell approximately 3% since early September. autotalk.co.nz · www.chineseherald.co.nz · transporttalk.co.nz · www.perthnow.com.au
- [● 4 SOURCES] The decision was made 10 days before the New Zealand general election. www.chineseherald.co.nz · www.businesstimes.com.sg · www.perthnow.com.au · theqldr.com.au
- [● 10 SOURCES] The RBNZ stated that tighter monetary policy is likely to be required. autotalk.co.nz · www.chineseherald.co.nz · www.europesays.com · www.businesstimes.com.sg · www.perthnow.com.au · +5 more
- [● 11 SOURCES] Three committee members favored an immediate rate hike to 3.00%. autotalk.co.nz · www.chineseherald.co.nz · www.europesays.com · www.negocios.com · transporttalk.co.nz · +5 more
- [● 9 SOURCES] Annual inflation fell to 3.7% in the September quarter. autotalk.co.nz · www.chineseherald.co.nz · www.europesays.com · www.perthnow.com.au · theqldr.com.au · +4 more
- [○ 1 SOURCE] The November 7 general election was not a factor in the RBNZ decision.