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Brazil elections: Polls show Jorginho Mello leading in Santa Catarina
Recent polling and political developments highlight the competitive landscape of the 2026 Brazilian elections. In Santa Catarina, Governor Jorginho Mello leads the gubernatorial race with 49% of the first-round intention, while the Senate race shows a technical tie between Carol de Toni, Esperidião Amin, and Carlos Bolsonaro. In the presidential race within the state, Flávio Bolsonaro holds a significant lead over President Lula with 52% compared to 26%.
In other regions, the Senate race in Minas Gerais sees Carlos Viana leading with 30.8%, followed by Marília Campos and Domingos Sávio. In São Paulo, a technical tie exists among four candidates—Marina Silva, Simone Tebet, André do Prado, and Guilherme Derrite—for the two available Senate seats.
Legal and campaign incidents have also surfaced. The TRE-SC fined Jorginho Mello R$ 5,000 for disseminating inaccurate electoral survey data. Additionally, during a campaign event in Guarulhos, Marina Silva mistakenly cited her opponent Ricardo Salles's ballot number and incorrectly identified her candidacy status.
Entities
Assenor · Carol De Toni · Cleitinho Azevedo · Eduardo Gomes · Eduardo Paes · Espírito Santo · Flávio Bolsonaro · Jorginho Mello · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Marina Silva · Real Time Big Data · Renato Casagrande
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] The TRE-SC fined Jorginho Mello R$ 5,000 for disseminating inaccurate electoral survey data. oblumenauense.com.br
- [● 3 SOURCES] Carol de Toni, Esperidião Amin, and Carlos Bolsonaro are in a technical tie for the Senate seats in Santa Catarina. www.brasilemfolhas.com.br · portalmakingof.com.br · revistaforum.com.br
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Marina Silva, Simone Tebet, André do Prado, and Guilherme Derrite are in a technical tie for the São Paulo Senate seats. www.spacemoney.com.br
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Marina Silva mistakenly cited her opponent Ricardo Salles's ballot number during a campaign event in Guarulhos. br.paipee.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Carlos Viana leads the Minas Gerais Senate race with 30.8% of the intention to vote. www.cnnbrasil.com.br
- [● 2 SOURCES] Jorginho Mello leads the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race with 49% of the first-round vote intention. www.brasilemfolhas.com.br · www.dgabc.com.br
- [● 2 SOURCES] In a potential second round, Jorginho Mello would receive 57% of the votes against João Rodrigues' 26%. www.brasilemfolhas.com.br · www.dgabc.com.br
- [● 2 SOURCES] Flávio Bolsonaro leads the presidential race in Santa Catarina with 52% of the first-round intention. www.cartacapital.com.br · www.dgabc.com.br