XRP trades near $1.14 as death‑cross and ETF inflows shape market outlook

XRP has settled around $1.14 after a steep 68% decline from its $3.66 peak. Technical analysis shows a “death‑cross” on the 50‑day moving average falling below the 200‑day line, and the token has slipped below the weekly Ichimoku cloud, signalling weakening momentum. Traders are watching the $1.10‑$1.30 support zone, which aligns with a former 2021 resistance level, as the key barrier for a potential rebound.

ETF products linked to XRP recorded net inflows of about $10 million in the latest week, offsetting some whale selling pressure, while on‑chain data show large holders distributing over 30 million XRP. Exchange reserves have fallen to a seven‑year low of roughly 1.6 billion XRP, tightening sell‑side liquidity. The XRP Ledger received a software update (xrpld 3.2.0) and is expanding token‑ization activity, with tokenised‑asset volume exceeding $474 million.

Analysts suggest the most credible window for a capital rotation back into crypto—and a possible price rise for XRP—is the fourth quarter of 2026, especially if Bitcoin breaks its all‑time high. Regulatory clarity from the U.S. “Clarity Act” could further boost institutional interest.