Russia poses new security threats to Europe

Security services and European officials are warning of potential Russian provocations and large-scale actions planned for later this year. Intelligence suggests a shift in tactics, with potential threats extending beyond the Baltic states and Poland to Mediterranean countries, including France, Spain, and Italy.

Analysts warn that Russia may utilize drones, such as the Gerber model, launched from maritime shipping containers to conduct symbolic or disruptive attacks. These actions could target infrastructure like airports to demonstrate Russia's ability to strike the European mainland without crossing land borders. Political vulnerability is noted as these countries approach major elections in 2027.

Additionally, Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski has cautioned that Moscow might seek a pretext for mobilization through false flag operations. Potential flashpoints include areas with significant Russian populations, such as Narva in Estonia, or attempts to establish a land connection between Belarus and the Kaliningrad enclave through Lithuania.