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[INTERNATIONAL] · United States, Brazil · 5 sources

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Super El Niño threatens to disrupt weather in US and Brazil

A strengthening El Niño is projected to become a Super El Niño by October, with a 70% chance of becoming the strongest on record by the end of the year. Meteorologists from NOAA describe the potential strength as a once-in-a-lifetime event.

In the United States, the phenomenon is expected to shift the jet stream southward. This typically results in wetter and cooler weather in the southern regions, while northern areas may experience warmer and drier conditions. Some areas in the Southeast and Southern Plains may also face increased risks of snow and ice.

In Brazil, specifically in the state of Paraná, Simepar reports that the El Niño influence could persist until the first quarter of 2027. The phenomenon is expected to increase rainfall volumes and the frequency of severe weather, including intense storms, floods, and flash floods. There is a 90% probability of the event reaching very strong intensity, characterized by sea surface temperatures at least 2°C above average.

Entities

Nat Johnson · National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration · Paraná · Simepar · United States

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

  • [● 3 SOURCES] There is a 70% chance that this El Niño will become the strongest on record by the end of the year. www.haberaktuel.com · keyt.com · krdo.com
  • [● 3 SOURCES] The current El Niño is potentially a once-in-a-lifetime event in terms of strength. www.haberaktuel.com · keyt.com · krdo.com
  • [○ 1 SOURCE] There is a 90% probability that El Niño will reach very strong intensity, with sea surface temperatures at least 2°C above average. www.opresente.com.br
  • [○ 1 SOURCE] In Paraná, Brazil, El Niño is expected to increase rainfall and cause more severe storms through early 2027. www.opresente.com.br
  • [● 3 SOURCES] El Niño typically shifts the jet stream south, leading to wetter, cooler weather in the southern US and warmer, drier conditions in the north. www.haberaktuel.com · keyt.com · krdo.com
  • [● 3 SOURCES] The phenomenon is expected to transition into a Super El Niño no later than October. www.haberaktuel.com · keyt.com · krdo.com