Swiss political landscape shows increasing polarization

The latest SRG election barometer, released one year ahead of the 2027 Swiss national elections, indicates a trend of political polarization rather than a simple right-wing shift.

The Swiss People's Party (SVP) continues to see growth, with its voter share projected at 29.9 percent, a 2-percentage-point increase compared to 2023. This would surpass its previous record set in 2015.

On the left, the Social Democratic Party (SP) and the Greens are seeing slight gains, rising to 19.3 percent and 10.3 percent respectively. Conversely, centrist and liberal parties are losing ground: the Centre (Die Mitte) has dropped to 12.6 percent, and the FDP has declined to 13.3 percent, which would represent the worst result in the party's history for National Council elections.