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[TECHNOLOGY] · United States · 33 sources

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Thwaites Glacier melting faster than previously estimated

New research published in Nature Communications indicates that the Thwaites Glacier in West Antarctica, often called the “Doomsday Glacier,” is melting significantly faster than earlier models predicted. Scientists from the University of California, Irvine, and NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory have developed a new computer model that accounts for a wide “grounding zone” rather than a narrow, stable grounding line. This zone, which can be several kilometers wide, allows warm seawater to flow in and out with the tides, accelerating melting from beneath the ice.

The study suggests the glacier could contribute up to 3 centimeters (1.2 inches) to global sea-level rise by 2100, roughly double previous estimates. While this specific contribution may seem modest, the glacier holds enough ice to raise global sea levels by approximately 65 centimeters if it were to collapse entirely. Such a collapse could also destabilize the broader West Antarctic ice sheet, potentially leading to a total sea-level rise of up to 3 meters.

Additional research from the British Antarctic Survey suggests that the glacier may continue to lose mass for at least the next 150 years, even if ocean warming were to cease, due to the momentum of existing changes.

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Antarctica · British Antarctic Survey · Eric Rignot · Mattia Poinelli · NASA · NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory · Thwaites Glacier · University of California, Irvine · West Antarctica

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