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University of Michigan consumer sentiment hits near-record low

The University of Michigan’s final consumer sentiment index for October was revised upward to 48.0, up from a preliminary reading of 46.3, but remains near historic lows. The reading is the second-lowest in the 74-year history of the survey, following a record low of 44.8 in May.

While the headline index showed slight stability, the Current Economic Conditions subindex fell 8.3% to 46.7. This decline was driven by an 18% plunge in buying conditions for durable goods, attributed to high interest rates and affordability concerns. Conversely, the Index of Consumer Expectations rose to 48.8.

Inflation expectations are also rising. One-year inflation expectations increased to 4.7% from 4.6% in September, while long-term expectations rose to 3.5% from 3.4%. These figures represent the highest levels since May.

Economic pressures are being exacerbated by high energy costs. The average price for a gallon of gas in the U.S. is $4.29, a roughly 43% increase since the outbreak of the Iran war in February. Brent crude oil prices recently crossed $116 a barrel, hitting a six-month high.

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AAA · Betsey Stevenson · CNBC · Federal Reserve · Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · Fox News · Jason Furman · Joanne Hsu · National Restaurant Association · Trump administration · United States · University of Michigan

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