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[BUSINESS] · United States, New Zealand, United Kingdom, Iran · 13 sources

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Global airfares rise amid surging jet fuel costs and Middle East tensions

Airlines worldwide are facing significant upward pressure on ticket prices, driven primarily by a sharp increase in jet fuel costs linked to geopolitical instability in the Middle East, specifically the conflict involving Iran. Analysts and industry executives warn that even if fuel prices stabilize or decrease, airfares may remain high as carriers seek to protect profit margins, offset higher operating costs, and recover real value lost since the COVID-19 pandemic.

In the United States, domestic fares rose in all 50 major metropolitan areas, with the national average one-way fare increasing by 16% to $279. The exit of low-cost carrier Spirit Airlines has also contributed to higher average prices on certain routes. Similarly, in New Zealand, travelers are expected to face higher costs this summer, with international fares seeing sharper increases than domestic ones.

In Europe, Ryanair’s CEO has warned of potential fare increases of up to 20% by 2027 due to fuel volatility. Industry experts suggest that if jet fuel prices exceed $200 per barrel, airlines may be forced to cut flight routes to maintain profitability. The volatility of fuel prices remains a critical challenge for long-term financial planning across the aviation sector.

Entities

Air New Zealand · American Airlines · Delta Air Lines · Devon May · Ryanair · Scott Kirby · Spirit Airlines · U.S. Department of Transportation · United Airlines

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