US midterms: Democrats lead polls as Trump faces 100‑day countdown
The United States is 100 days away from the November 3, 2026 midterm elections that will decide control of the House of Representatives and one‑third of the Senate. Polls from Decision Desk HQ give Democrats a 59‑60 % chance of winning the House, with generic‑ballot leads ranging from eight to eleven points. Republicans currently hold a slim House majority of about 218 seats and a 50‑50 split in the Senate that hinges on the Vice President’s tie‑breaking vote.
Redistricting battles have left only 18‑20 competitive House districts—under 5 % of the total—while gerrymandering in several Republican‑run states is expected to benefit GOP candidates. Issues dominating the campaign include rising living costs, inflation, high gasoline prices and the ongoing war with Iran. House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries has launched an “affordable America” agenda focusing on groceries, gas, housing and health care, while House Speaker Mike Johnson is touring the country raising funds and asserting that Republicans will retain control of the House. President Donald Trump, who will not appear on the ballot, continues to campaign, promoting the SAVE America Act and alleging election fraud, actions that critics say could suppress Republican turnout.
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how well corroborated each claim is across sources.
- [● 2 SOURCES] President Donald Trump, who is not on the ballot, is promoting the SAVE America Act and alleging election fraud.
- [● 2 SOURCES] Redistricting/gerrymandering has left only 18‑20 competitive House districts, less than 5 % of the total.
- [● 2 SOURCES] House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries announced an affordability agenda focused on groceries, gas, housing and health care.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Recent generic‑ballot polls show Democrats leading by 8‑11 percentage points.
- [● 3 SOURCES] Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority of about 218 seats and a 50‑50 split in the Senate.
- [● 3 SOURCES] House Speaker Mike Johnson is touring the country to raise funds and claims Republicans will retain House control.
- [● 5 SOURCES] The US midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026, 100 days from now.
- [● 3 SOURCES] Decision Desk HQ polls give Democrats a 59‑60 % chance of winning control of the House.