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U.S. inflation data signals potential stagflation risks
July inflation data indicates potential economic risks, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 0.1% month-over-month. Core inflation and super-core inflation both increased by 0.2% during the same period, bringing the year-over-year inflation rate to 3.4%, down slightly from 3.5% in June.
Concerns regarding stagflation persist due to rising commodity price trends and geopolitical instability in the Middle East. While Bureau of Labor Statistics data showed gasoline prices down 2.9% in July, national average prices have risen from $3.8761 to $4.0360. Analysts suggest that worsening inflation combined with slowing economic momentum could lead to a recessionary environment in the coming months.
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GnS Economics · Tuomas Malinen · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics