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[BUSINESS] · United States · 4 sources

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US Treasury yields rise as bond vigilantes reawaken

Nigel Green, CEO of the global financial advisory firm deVere Group, has warned of the reawakening of ‘bond vigilantes’ as US government borrowing costs reach levels not seen since 2007. This shift is driving stocks lower and forcing investors to reprice risk across various asset classes.

Key economic indicators contributing to this trend include 30-year US Treasury yields persisting above 5% and oil prices climbing past US$85 per barrel due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. These factors are complicating the Federal Reserve’s efforts to manage inflation.

The scale of US federal debt is a significant factor, with debt exceeding 100% of the economy and annual interest payments surpassing US$1 trillion. The US Treasury market has grown significantly, from US$4.5 trillion in 2007 to over US$31 trillion today. Green suggests that as investors price in the risk of unchecked government spending, they are increasingly able to set the terms for bond buyers.

Entities

Federal Reserve · Nigel Green · US Treasury · United States · deVere Group

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