US‑Iran peace deal boosts Greece’s growth outlook and strengthens IRGC’s economic grip

The United States‑Iran peace agreement is projected to raise Greece’s economy, with the Bank of Greece forecasting a 2 % annual GDP increase for 2026‑2028 under a softer scenario and inflation easing to 3.7 % in 2026, 2.5 % in 2027 and 2.2 % in 2028. The central bank warned that failure to implement the deal could reverse these gains, while EU and IMF forecasts remain more modest.

A Reuters analysis notes that the same agreement could substantially benefit the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), which already dominates key sectors such as oil, construction, shipping, telecoms and logistics. Lifting sanctions and access to a proposed $300 billion reconstruction fund would allow the IRGC‑controlled network of front companies to capture billions of dollars, raising concerns for Western investors and regional rivals. The deal also extends a 60‑day armistice, prompting mixed reactions from Israel, Lebanon and Gulf states as they assess a potentially stronger Iranian economic and political foothold in the Middle East.