Uttar Pradesh assembly elections: Caste dynamics in Kasganj and Jasrana

Analysis of the caste-based electoral dynamics in the Kasganj and Jasrana assembly constituencies in Uttar Pradesh ahead of the 2027 elections reveals the significant influence of specific social groups on political outcomes.

In Kasganj, the Lodhi community is a primary political force, estimated to hold over a quarter of the influence. Other critical demographic groups include Scheduled Castes (approximately 17.77%), Muslims (10.70%), Yadavs (8-12%), and Vaishyas (8-10%). The current MLA, Devendra Singh Lodhi of the BJP, won the 2022 election by a margin of 46,265 votes.

In Jasrana, the political landscape is shaped by a competition between the Yadav and Lodhi communities. The 2022 election was exceptionally close, with Samajwadi Party MLA Sachin Yadav defeating the BJP's Manvendra Pratap Singh Lodhi by only 836 votes. The 2026 voter list for Jasrana shows a total of 356,892 registered voters.