Venezuela faces political uncertainty amid transition debates

The political landscape in Venezuela is currently characterized by significant uncertainty regarding the direction of its transition. A report by Laboratorio de Paz suggests that while the country changed following events on January 3, the definitive direction remains unknown. A central issue is the unresolved political legitimacy stemming from the July 28, 2024, elections, where authorities failed to provide verifiable, granular results to support the victory attributed to Nicolás Maduro.

Following Maduro's capture in January, Delcy Rodríguez has exercised power through a controversial constitutional interpretation regarding his absence. Analysts note that her ability to govern does not resolve the democratic legitimacy deficit. Furthermore, political sovereignty remains conditioned by economic and institutional decisions that depend on pressures and agreements between the Venezuelan and United States governments.

Complementing this analysis, Efecto Cocuyo has launched a special series titled ‘El lado B de la transición venezolana’. The series examines the three-phase plan promoted by Washington—stabilization, economic recovery, and political transition—from a critical perspective. Experts highlight a sense of ‘institutional orphanhood’ among the population, noting that citizens feel their voices are absent from the process despite previous mobilizations and protests.