Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s Power Slump Threatens Blue Jays' Playoff Hopes

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded just two home runs in 41 games of the 2026 MLB season, putting him on a pace of roughly eight homers for the year—far below his 2021 MVP‑level output of 48. While his exit velocity remains above 95 mph, Statcast data shows his hard‑hit balls are landing in center and opposite fields instead of being pulled for extra‑base power.

Blue Jays manager John Schneider said the slugger appears to be “trying a little too much,” creating a cycle of frustration that’s hurt his production. The team, sitting at an 18‑23 start, needs Guerrero’s power to remain competitive in the AL East and to keep postseason aspirations alive.

If Guerrero cannot rebound to a more typical 25‑30 home‑run range while maintaining his .300 average, Toronto risks missing the playoffs, leaving a $40‑million contract and a franchise’s fortunes in doubt.