Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream: WNBA Friday night betting preview

A regression bug caused several high‑total WNBA games to finish under the projected scores, prompting a shift in betting lines. The Friday, August 7 slate features three matchups.

The Washington Mystics host the Atlanta Dream with an over/under of 170.5. The line moved from Atlanta ‑3.5 to ‑5.5 despite no reported injuries. The Mystics are playing about seven points above their season average, while the Dream are three points below. TSI projects Atlanta ‑2 and a total of 173.5, favoring a Mystics win.

The Connecticut Sun travel to face the Phoenix Mercury (O/U 175). The Sun are three points under their low season average, whereas the Mercury have slipped a point after acquiring Kelsey Plum at the deadline. The teams split their season series 1‑1. TSI projects Mercury ‑3.5 with a total of 173.5.

The Dallas Wings meet the Golden State Valkyries (O/U 161.5). The Wings are 2.5 points below their recent average, while the Valkyries are slightly above. The Valkyries won the only prior meeting this season.