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OECD raises 2026 global growth forecast to 2.9% amid AI investment FAST-MOVING
The OECD has slightly upgraded its 2026 global economic growth forecast to 2.9%, up from 2.8% in June, while trimming its 2027 projection to 3.0%. Despite this resilience, the organization warns of significant risks, including the ongoing conflict in the Middle East involving Iran, high energy prices, and the potential impact of the El Niño weather system.
Investment in artificial intelligence is noted as a key driver of global trade and economic growth, helping to offset some recent shocks. However, the OECD cautions that rapid AI investment relies heavily on external financing, which could lead to market corrections if returns do not materialize.
In specific regions, Spain's 2026 growth forecast has been revised upward to 2.6%, though it faces higher inflation risks compared to its European peers. Globally, economists surveyed by the World Economic Forum express cautious optimism, with 56% expecting stability or improvement, though 97% identify geopolitical conflicts as a primary source of uncertainty for the coming year.
Entities
Attilio Di Battista · China · Institute for Supply Management · Iran · Mathias Cormann · OECD · Spain · United States · World Economic Forum
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [● 7 SOURCES] 97% of chief economists identify geopolitical conflicts as a likely source of uncertainty for the coming year. diariofinanciero.com · www.diarioestrategia.cl · europeanbusinessmagazine.com · it-online.co.za · trendsmena.com · +2 more
- [● 7 SOURCES] 56% of surveyed chief economists expect the global economic outlook to remain stable or improve over the next year. diariofinanciero.com · www.diarioestrategia.cl · europeanbusinessmagazine.com · it-online.co.za · trendsmena.com · +2 more
- [● 4 SOURCES] The Eurozone economy is projected to grow by 1% in both 2026 and 2027. sapo.pt · www.dnoticias.pt · www.fxstreet.cz · dinheirovivo.dn.pt
- [● 7 SOURCES] Spain's inflation forecast for 2026 has been increased to 3.7%. www.elmundo.es · www.expansion.com · www.larazon.es · www.diariodemallorca.es · www.informacion.es · +2 more
- [● 7 SOURCES] Spain's economic growth forecast for 2026 has been revised upward to 2.6%. www.elmundo.es · www.informacion.es · www.eldia.es · www.laopinioncoruna.es · www.expansion.com · +2 more
- [○ 1 SOURCE] An adverse scenario could reduce global growth by 0.7 percentage points and increase inflation by 1.1 points in 2027. observador.cr
- [● 4 SOURCES] 97% of economists anticipate increased adoption of artificial intelligence over the next 12 months. www.eldiariodehoy.com · europeanbusinessmagazine.com · it-online.co.za · trendsmena.com
- [● 16 SOURCES] The OECD projects global economic growth of 2.9% for 2026 and 3% for 2027. observador.cr · www.expansion.com · www.patria.cz · sapo.pt · www.dgabc.com.br · +11 more
- [● 8 SOURCES] The OECD projects global economic growth at 3 percent for 2027. economymiddleeast.com · www.vol.at · www.businessdaily.gr · www.capital.gr · www.cash.ch · +3 more
- [● 10 SOURCES] The OECD trimmed its 2027 global growth forecast by 0.1 percentage points to 3%. www.vol.at · www.businessdaily.gr · www.capital.gr · cretaone.gr · economymiddleeast.com · +4 more
- [● 13 SOURCES] The conflict in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran, is a major risk to the global economic outlook. economymiddleeast.com · www.vol.at · www.businessdaily.gr · www.capital.gr · www.cash.ch · +7 more
- [● 9 SOURCES] Investment in artificial intelligence is supporting global trade and economic growth. economymiddleeast.com · www.vol.at · www.businessdaily.gr · www.capital.gr · www.cash.ch · +4 more