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[BUSINESS] · United States, China, Iran, United Arab Emirates, Qatar · 45 sources

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OECD raises 2026 global growth forecast to 2.9% amid AI investment FAST-MOVING

The OECD has slightly upgraded its 2026 global economic growth forecast to 2.9%, up from 2.8% in June, while trimming its 2027 projection to 3.0%. Despite this resilience, the organization warns of significant risks, including the ongoing conflict in the Middle East involving Iran, high energy prices, and the potential impact of the El Niño weather system.

Investment in artificial intelligence is noted as a key driver of global trade and economic growth, helping to offset some recent shocks. However, the OECD cautions that rapid AI investment relies heavily on external financing, which could lead to market corrections if returns do not materialize.

In specific regions, Spain's 2026 growth forecast has been revised upward to 2.6%, though it faces higher inflation risks compared to its European peers. Globally, economists surveyed by the World Economic Forum express cautious optimism, with 56% expecting stability or improvement, though 97% identify geopolitical conflicts as a primary source of uncertainty for the coming year.

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Attilio Di Battista · China · Institute for Supply Management · Iran · Mathias Cormann · OECD · Spain · United States · World Economic Forum

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