Ripple's XRP price under pressure as whales sell and $1 barrier looms

Technical analysis shows XRP posting a TD‑Sequential buy signal on the three‑day chart, yet on‑chain data reveal a 57 % drop in whale activity with large wallets off‑loading roughly 60 million XRP, suggesting selling pressure could outweigh the short‑term bullish trigger. A prediction market (Polymarket) estimates a notable chance that XRP will fall below the US $1 mark by the end of June.

An AI model, Claude Fable 5, projects XRP could rise to higher levels by 2026 if Bitcoin reaches new highs and regulatory clarity improves, citing potential benefits from US spot‑ETF listings and expanded Ripple ODL corridors in Asia and the Middle East. The model also flags risks such as ETF outflows, escrow releases, and a loss of support at $1.00.

Recent market data confirms a decline, with XRP sliding to its lowest level since October 2025, about 10 % below the February trough of $1.12, and breaking below the psychologically important $1 barrier, which analysts warn could trigger further downside.