XRP Hits Record Low Returns as Traders Watch for Reversal Signals

On‑chain analytics firm Santiment reports that XRP’s average trading returns have plunged to historic lows – the 30‑day market‑value‑to‑realized‑value (MVRV) ratio is at –45 % and the 365‑day MVRV at –47 %, the deepest levels in the token’s 12‑year history. The price is hovering around $1.10, with exchange balances falling as large holders move coins to private wallets.

Technical analysis shows mixed signals. The 50‑day simple moving average and a descending channel have rejected recent price attempts, keeping XRP in a downtrend, while the SuperTrend indicator flashed its first buy signal since mid‑June, suggesting a possible short‑term rally. Short‑liquidation clusters have emerged near $1.08‑$1.10, and on‑chain activity has risen sharply, with active addresses up 72 % over two weeks.

Analysts note that such extreme negative MVRV readings have often preceded relief rallies, but the market remains bearish overall. Continued support around $1.00 and potential breakout resistance near $1.18 will determine whether XRP can reverse its slide or face further declines.